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Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Prospect Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Reynolds C.
43' Event
Wilcox B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Launceston City and Clarence Zebras finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Launceston City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Launceston City
15%
Draws
51%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Launceston City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clarence Zebras a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Launceston City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 15%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 3 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
2:1
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
12:3
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynolds C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilcox B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Clarence Zebras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City 11 / 100
Clarence Zebras 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City Clarence Zebras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clarence Zebras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Launceston City scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Clarence Zebras has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Clarence Zebras's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City VS Clarence Zebras
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston City

(Home)
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
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Clarence Zebras

(Away)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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