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Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Birch Avenue
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Clothier J.
76' Event
Chegancas A.
86' Event
Koplin B.

AI Match Summary

Glenorchy Knights in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Glenorchy Knights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Launceston United
39%
Draws
31%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenorchy Knights has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Launceston United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights
3:5
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United
3:0
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United
3:2
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Koplin B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clothier J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 29 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United Glenorchy Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston United scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Glenorchy Knights let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Launceston United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Glenorchy Knights lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS Glenorchy Knights
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%