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Launceston United vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Birch Avenue
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Turay B.
(Penalty)
9' Event
Samuel D.
37' Event
Morton N.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Launceston United and South Hobart finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Launceston United
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Launceston United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Hobart.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United South Hobart
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1.25 4
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
4:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South Hobart
1:5
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South Hobart
1:7
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
7:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston United
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Morton N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 10 / 100
South Hobart 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United South Hobart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston United scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

South Hobart let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.20 goals.

Launceston United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Hobart lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS South Hobart
1.25 Goals Scored 4
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%