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Stadium Background

Lausanne Ouchy vs Grasshoppers

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Nomel L.
Assist: Nkama J.
59'
Sub
Abrashi A. In: Imourane H.
Out: Abrashi A.
59'
Sub
Krasniqi S. In: Tsimba E.
Out: Krasniqi S.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lausanne Ouchy
6%
Draws
4%
Grasshoppers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Grasshoppers.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lausanne Ouchy taking it.
  • Lausanne Ouchy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 11%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Grasshoppers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Swiss Cup
Lausanne Ouchy vs Grasshoppers
2:0
May 4, 2024 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne Ouchy
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Grasshoppers
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Lausanne Ouchy
5:2
Sep 2, 2023 Super League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Grasshoppers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nomel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tritten V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Grasshoppers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 83 / 100
Grasshoppers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Grasshoppers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grasshoppers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Lausanne Ouchy scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Lausanne Ouchy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Grasshoppers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
17 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 1
Servette U21
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

Grasshoppers

(Away)
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
01 Jul
Cham
2 : 3
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier0
Echallens1
Veyrier-Sports0
Lausanne Ouchy2
Harkingen2
Schaffhausen3
SV Schaffhausen0
Winterthur5
Zug1
Mendrisio0
Breitenrain1
Thun0
Breitenbach0
Bosna Neuchatel5
Perlen-Buchrain0
Luzern3
Romanshorn2
Altstatten4
Cham3
Lugano2
SC Nebikon0
Bellinzona4
Lachen/Altendorf0
Grasshoppers2
Wohlen1
Aarau3
Courtetelle1
Young Boys4
FC Lommiswil1
Prishtina Bern4
Ajoie-Monterri0
Sion2
La Tour Le Paquier0
Stade Nyonnais4
Wettswil-Bonstetten0
Zurich2
Unterstrass5
Klingnau4
Diaspora2
Xamax3
Stade Payerne1
Yverdon3
Dardania Lausanne0
Servette5
Azzurri Bienne0
Concordia8
Vevey1
Lausanne2
FC Morbio2
Gossau1
Volketswil0
Rapperswil-Jona8
Kriens2
Wil3
Walenstadt0
St. Gallen13
CS Le Locle2
FC Saxon-Sports1
La Sarraz-Eclepens1
Grand-Saconnex4
Bernex0
Etoile-Carouge3
Biel1
Basel6
1/16-finals
Echallens0
Lausanne Ouchy1
Schaffhausen0
Winterthur4
Zug1
Breitenrain0
Bosna Neuchatel0
Luzern6
Altstatten0
Cham3
Bellinzona0
Grasshoppers1
Aarau1
Young Boys0
Prishtina Bern0
Sion2
Stade Nyonnais2
Zurich1
Unterstrass0
Xamax5
Yverdon1
Servette0
Concordia1
Lausanne4
FC Morbio0
Rapperswil-Jona4
Wil1
St. Gallen2
CS Le Locle3
Grand-Saconnex4
Etoile-Carouge2
Basel3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy1
Winterthur0
Zug1
Luzern4
Cham1
Grasshoppers2
Aarau1
Sion3
Stade Nyonnais1
Xamax2
Yverdon2
Lausanne1
Rapperswil-Jona1
St. Gallen2
Grand-Saconnex1
Basel3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Luzern1
Grasshoppers4
Sion3
Xamax1
Yverdon2
St. Gallen2
Basel1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Grasshoppers0
Yverdon0
St. Gallen2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3