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Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy host Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Stade Nyonnais have shipped 2.88 goals a game lately, while Lausanne Ouchy have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Lausanne Ouchy slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.31 - 1.38) back Lausanne Ouchy to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lausanne Ouchy
22%
Draws
18%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Nyonnais haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lausanne Ouchy's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 17%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
3:3
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 57 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stade Nyonnais conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lausanne Ouchy found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Stade Nyonnais's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Stade Nyonnais
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
17 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 1
Servette U21
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
24 May
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 3
St. Gallen
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Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
11 Jul
Bulle
4 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
15 May
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
11 May
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
08 May
Aarau
5 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xamax00000:00
2Kriens00000:00
3Etoile-Carouge00000:00
4Stade Nyonnais00000:00
5Aarau00000:00
6Wil00000:00
7Winterthur00000:00
8Yverdon00000:00
9Rapperswil-Jona00000:00
10Lausanne Ouchy00000:00
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)