Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lausanne Ouchy vs Wil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sartoretti M.
Assist: Sow C.
32' Event
Bouchlarhem T.
(Penalty)
36'
Sutter N.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lausanne Ouchy
35%
Draws
20%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lausanne Ouchy a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 19%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Ouchy Wil
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Wil
4:0
Apr 3, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Wil
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Lausanne Ouchy
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Wil
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartoretti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sutter N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Wil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
Wil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Ouchy Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lausanne Ouchy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lausanne Ouchy found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne Ouchy VS Wil
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne Ouchy

(Home)
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)