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Lausanne vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lausanne host Thun in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Lausanne at 1.55 goals for, 1.62 against; Thun at 1.9 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Lausanne have won 1 to Thun's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.75, favoring Thun. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lausanne
15%
Draws
73%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Thun at 1.9 per game, Lausanne at 1.55.
  • Thun are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 12%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lausanne Thun
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Lausanne
0:0
Feb 12, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Lausanne
5:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Thun
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Lausanne
2:1
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Lausanne vs Thun
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lausanne 14 / 100
Thun 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lausanne Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lausanne scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Thun's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lausanne VS Thun
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lausanne

(Home)
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3
Zurich
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)