Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rizq K.

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lavagnese
17%
Draws
70%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lavagnese haven't matched Chisola's recent run of results.
  • Chisola are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 18%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Chisola
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Lavagnese
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 15 / 100
Chisola 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Chisola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lavagnese went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Chisola
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Chisola

(Away)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)