Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rizq K.

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lavagnese
15%
Draws
76%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Lavagnese haven't matched Chisola's recent run of results.
  • Chisola are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 12%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Chisola
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Lavagnese
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Chisola
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 11 / 100
Chisola 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Chisola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lavagnese went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Chisola
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)