Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Finale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lavagnese in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lavagnese
20%
Draws
40%
Finale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lavagnese lately — more wins on the board than Finale.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lavagnese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 19%
Finale Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Finale
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Lavagnese vs Finale
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Lavagnese
0:1
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Lavagnese vs Finale
2:0
Sep 10, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Lavagnese
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 31 / 100
Finale 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Finale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavagnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Lavagnese's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Finale has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 7

Finale

(Away)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)