Sport Picks
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
D'Antoni R.
20'
20'
Battistini L.
74'
74'
Busato G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lavagnese and Imperia Calcio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavagnese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lavagnese haven't matched Imperia Calcio's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Imperia Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 12%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lavagnese | Imperia Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Lavagnese
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lavagnese Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Antoni R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Battistini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Imperia Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Busato G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lavagnese 14 / 100
Imperia Calcio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lavagnese Imperia Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lavagnese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Imperia Calcio let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Lavagnese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lavagnese VS Imperia Calcio
1.17 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lavagnese
(Home) 03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
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03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
28 Mar
Lavagnese
2 : 4 Club Milano
15 Mar
Lavagnese
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
22 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
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Imperia Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0 Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0 Imperia Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
