Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
D'Antoni R.
20' Event
Battistini L.
74' Event
Busato G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Lavagnese and Imperia Calcio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lavagnese
28%
Draws
50%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lavagnese haven't matched Imperia Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Imperia Calcio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 18%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Lavagnese
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Imperia Calcio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Antoni R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Battistini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Busato G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 23 / 100
Imperia Calcio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lavagnese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Imperia Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Imperia Calcio

(Away)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)