Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Grosso E.
18' Event
Berardi M.
90' Event
Cavaliere F.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Lavagnese
30%
Draws
62%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than Lavagnese.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Sanremese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Lavagnese
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Berardi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavaliere F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 14 / 100
Sanremese 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lavagnese remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Sanremese
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6

Sanremese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)