Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavagnese vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Grosso E.
18' Event
Berardi M.
90' Event
Cavaliere F.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lavagnese
6%
Draws
90%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than Lavagnese.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 17%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavagnese Sanremese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Lavagnese
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Lavagnese
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Sanremese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Berardi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavaliere F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavagnese 10 / 100
Sanremese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavagnese Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lavagnese remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lavagnese VS Sanremese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavagnese

(Home)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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Sanremese

(Away)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)