Sport Picks
Lavalleja (Minas) vs Rocha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2023 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rocha have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Lavalleja (Minas) have conceded 1.5 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Lavalleja (Minas) have won 0 to Rocha's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Lavalleja (Minas) to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
15%
38%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavalleja (Minas)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lavalleja (Minas) haven't matched Rocha's recent run of results.
- Lavalleja (Minas) are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Rocha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lavalleja (Minas) Clean Sheet 20%
Rocha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lavalleja (Minas) | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Lavalleja (Minas) vs Rocha
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lavalleja (Minas) 49 / 100
Rocha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lavalleja (Minas) Rocha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lavalleja (Minas) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lavalleja (Minas) scored in 100% of their last 3 games.
Defensive concern: Rocha conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Rocha lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Lavalleja (Minas) VS Rocha
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lavalleja (Minas)
(Home) 28 Oct
Lavalleja (Minas)
1 : 3 Danubio
18 Oct
Lavalleja (Minas)
2 : 1 Juventud
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
: Rocha
20 Jul
Lavalleja (Minas)
1 : 2 Atenas
28 Oct
Lavalleja (Minas)
1 : 3 Danubio
18 Oct
Lavalleja (Minas)
2 : 1 Juventud
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
: Rocha
20 Jul
Lavalleja (Minas)
1 : 2 Atenas
Rocha
(Away) 11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0 Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
: Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3 Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1 Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0 Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0 Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
: Rocha
24 Nov
CA Cerro
3 : 0 Rocha
18 Nov
Albion
0 : 1 Rocha
01 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 1 Rocha
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Huracan Buceo 1
Ferro Carril 2
TBD -
Bella Vista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Wanderers Durazno 0
Terremoto 2
TBD -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 2
Salto FC 1
TBD -
Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Cooper 0
Libertad San Carlos 1
TBD -
Uruguay Montevideo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Campana 1
Club Atletico Basanez 2
TBD -
Cerrito -
Quilmes 2
Central Esp. 1
TBD -
Rampla Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) -
Rocha -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Huracan (Treinta y Tres) 0
Lito 1
TBD -
Sud America -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Salus 0
Atletico Juanico 4
TBD -
Atenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Paysandu Bella Vista 1
TBD -
Potencia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 2
Villa Espanola 1
TBD -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Deutscher 0
Sportivo Barracas 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/32-finals
Ferro Carril 1
Bella Vista 0
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Terremoto 1
Miramar 2
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 0
Albion 5
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Libertad San Carlos 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Cerrito 1
Quilmes 1
Rampla Juniors 2
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) 2
Juventud 1
TBD -
Danubio -
Lito 0
Sud America 2
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Atletico Juanico 1
Atenas 2
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Potencia 3
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1
Progreso 2
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Sportivo Barracas 2
Rentistas 1
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/16-finals
Ferro Carril 0
CA Cerro 1
Tacuarembo 1
Fenix 2
Miramar 0
Wanderers 1
Albion 0
River Plate Montevideo 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC 1
Plaza Colonia 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Cerrito 0
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Danubio 3
Sud America 0
Penarol 3
Universitario Salto 1
Boston River 3
Atenas 2
Liverpool M. 3
Potencia 0
Club Nacional 4
Progreso 1
Montevideo City 2
Central San Jose 0
Maldonado 1
Sportivo Barracas 3
Cerro Largo 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Racing Montevideo 0
1/8-finals
CA Cerro 2
Fenix 1
Wanderers 0
River Plate Montevideo 4
Plaza Colonia 0
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0
Danubio 1
Penarol 2
Boston River 0
Liverpool M. 2
Club Nacional 1
Montevideo City 2
Maldonado 0
Sportivo Barracas 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Quarter-finals
CA Cerro 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Defensor Sp. 1
Danubio 0
Penarol 3
Liverpool M. 1
Montevideo City 8
Sportivo Barracas 1
Semi-finals
River Plate Montevideo 1
Defensor Sp. 2
Penarol 1
Montevideo City 3
Final
Defensor Sp. 3
Montevideo City 2
