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Lavello vs Afragolese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Padulano F.
32' Event
Kamara M.
75'
Trapani D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Lavello and Afragolese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afragolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lavello
20%
Draws
50%
Afragolese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afragolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Lavello haven't matched Afragolese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Afragolese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lavello Clean Sheet 20%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavello Afragolese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 13
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Afragolese
1:2
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs Lavello
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipolo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Afragolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Padulano F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavello 28 / 100
Afragolese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavello Afragolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afragolese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lavello scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Afragolese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Lavello remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afragolese
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavello

(Home)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
Page 1 of 6

Afragolese

(Away)
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)