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Lavello vs Brindisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Maione V.
69' Event
Felleca F.
76' Event
Felleca F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Lavello and Brindisi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lavello
15%
Draws
64%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brindisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brindisi come out ahead of Lavello on wins alone.
  • Brindisi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lavello Clean Sheet 17%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavello Brindisi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Brindisi
1:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Lavello
4:0
May 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Lavello
3:1
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Brindisi
3:1
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Brindisi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Felleca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavello 10 / 100
Brindisi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavello Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lavello scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Brindisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Lavello stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brindisi
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavello

(Home)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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Brindisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)