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Lavello vs Nocerina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Maione V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Lavello and Nocerina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lavello
15%
Draws
64%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lavello haven't matched Nocerina's recent run of results.
  • Nocerina are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lavello Clean Sheet 27%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavello Nocerina
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 13
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Nocerina
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Lavello
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Nocerina
0:0
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Lavello
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Nocerina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavello 14 / 100
Nocerina 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavello Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Nocerina let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Lavello remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nocerina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavello

(Home)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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Nocerina

(Away)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)