Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lavello vs Puteolana Internapoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Romano G.
43' Event
Puntoriere F.
50' Event
Cappa R.

AI Match Summary

Lavello in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lavello
30%
Draws
47%
Puteolana Internapoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puteolana Internapoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Puteolana Internapoli have won more games recently than Lavello.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lavello Clean Sheet 20%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavello Puteolana Internapoli
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Puteolana Internapoli
4:3
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Puteolana Internapoli vs Lavello
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Puteolana Internapoli vs Lavello
1:1
Jan 27, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Puteolana Internapoli
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puntoriere F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guarracino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavello 36 / 100
Puteolana Internapoli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavello Puteolana Internapoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puteolana Internapoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lavello scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Puteolana Internapoli has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Lavello went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Puteolana Internapoli
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavello

(Home)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
Page 1 of 6

Puteolana Internapoli

(Away)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)