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Lavis vs Caravaggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Marin M.
26' Event
Zazzi F.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Pilenga T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Lavis and Caravaggio finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lavis
20%
Draws
80%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of Lavis on wins alone.
  • Caravaggio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lavis Clean Sheet 16%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavis Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Caravaggio
0:5
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Lavis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilenga T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavis 19 / 100
Caravaggio 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavis Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lavis scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Caravaggio lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lavis VS Caravaggio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavis

(Home)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)