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Lavis vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Poletto M.

AI Match Summary

Portogruaro in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portogruaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lavis
15%
Draws
85%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portogruaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portogruaro lately — more wins on the board than Lavis.
  • Win probability leans Lavis's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lavis Clean Sheet 20%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavis Portogruaro
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 25
Goals Scored 0.57 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Portogruaro
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Lavis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Poletto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavis 58 / 100
Portogruaro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavis Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portogruaro conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Portogruaro lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lavis scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portogruaro
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavis

(Home)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)