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Lazio vs Avellino

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Di Maggio L.
15' Event
Serra F.
22' Event
Ratkov P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lazio and Avellino finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lazio
6%
Draws
90%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lazio come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avellino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Avellino
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.38 4.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 4.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Lazio
0:1
May 5, 1985 Serie A
Lazio vs Avellino
0:1
Dec 23, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
1:0
Mar 18, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
3:0
Nov 6, 1983 Serie A
Lazio vs Avellino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratkov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Serra F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maggio L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besaggio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.32
Avg xA / game 2.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 10 / 100
Avellino 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Avellino has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Avellino
2.38 Goals Scored 4.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
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Avellino

(Away)
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
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