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Lazio vs Avellino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Di Maggio L.
15' Event
Serra F.
22' Event
Ratkov P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lazio and Avellino finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lazio
30%
Draws
27%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lazio come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lazio's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Avellino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.79 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Lazio vs Avellino
6:3
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Lazio
0:1
May 5, 1985 Serie A
Lazio vs Avellino
0:1
Dec 23, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
1:0
Mar 18, 1984 Serie A
Avellino vs Lazio
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratkov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Serra F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maggio L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besaggio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 58 / 100
Avellino 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Avellino conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Avellino
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
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Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
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