Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maldini D.
35' Event
Lauriente A.
Assist: Thorstvedt K.
37'
Lipani L.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lazio
20%
Draws
35%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sassuolo haven't matched Lazio's recent run of results.
  • Lazio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Sassuolo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lazio
1:0
May 26, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lazio
0:2
May 3, 2023 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldini D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marusic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 68 / 100
Sassuolo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lazio stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lazio scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Sassuolo
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)