Sport Picks

Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico

Lazio

2 - 1

Sassuolo

Our Tip

Match Events

Maldini D.

35'

Lauriente A.

Assist: Thorstvedt K.

37'

Lipani L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lazio

39%

Draws

30%

Sassuolo

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Lazio haven't matched Sassuolo's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Lazio Clean Sheet 19%

Sassuolo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lazio	Sassuolo
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	12	17
Draws	10	6
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Serie A

Lazio vs Sassuolo

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Sep 14, 2025 Serie A

Sassuolo vs Lazio

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

May 26, 2024 Serie A

Lazio vs Sassuolo

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Oct 21, 2023 Serie A

Sassuolo vs Lazio

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

May 3, 2023 Serie A

Lazio vs Sassuolo

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldini D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marusic A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauriente A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 32 / 100

Sassuolo 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lazio Sassuolo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sassuolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sassuolo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Sassuolo

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	89:35	87
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	58:36	76
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	71
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	53:35	70
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	61:34	69
7	Atalanta	38	15	14	9	51:36	59
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	49:46	56
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	41:40	54
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	45:48	50
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	46:50	49
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	44:63	45
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	45
14	Cagliari	38	11	10	17	40:53	43
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	41:50	42
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	41
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	28:50	38
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	32:57	34
19	Verona	38	3	12	23	25:61	21
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	26:71	18