Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Udinese

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ehizibue K.
Assist: Ekkelenkamp J.
41'
Cancellieri M.
46'
Sub
Taylor K. In: Dele-Bashiru F.
Out: Taylor K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lazio
15%
Draws
39%
Udinese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio have won more games recently than Udinese.
  • Lazio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Udinese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Udinese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Udinese
3:3
Dec 27, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Lazio
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Udinese
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Lazio
2:1
Mar 11, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Udinese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrini Lu.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Atta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ehizibue K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 77 / 100
Udinese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Udinese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lazio's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Udinese let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Lazio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Udinese
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2
Mantova
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

Udinese

(Away)
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Barcelona
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Nottingham
02 Aug
Trabzonspor
1 : 0
Udinese
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3
Mainz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)