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Lazio W vs Napoli W Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Banusic M.
10' Event
Camacho C.
Assist: Le Mouel M.
43'
Zanoli M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lazio W
20%
Draws
29%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lazio W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Lazio W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lazio W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 68%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio W Napoli W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
4:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Lazio W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monnecchi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banusic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio W 95 / 100
Napoli W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio W Napoli W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Napoli W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lazio W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lazio W VS Napoli W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio W

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Roma W
3 : 1
Lazio W
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
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Napoli W

(Away)
26 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 1
Napoli W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)