Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio W vs Ternana W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Campo Mirko Fersini, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Goldoni E.
60'
Sub
Ciccotti C. In: Di Giammarino V.
Out: Ciccotti C.
60'
Sub
Zanoli M. In: Karczewska N.
Out: Zanoli M.

AI Match Summary

Lazio W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lazio W
15%
Draws
26%
Ternana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio W have won more games recently than Ternana W.
  • Model gives Lazio W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 20%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio W Ternana W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.34 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Ternana W
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Lazio W
1:0
May 5, 2024 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Ternana W
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Serie B Women
Ternana W vs Lazio W
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Ternana W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goldoni E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castiello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ternana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio W 58 / 100
Ternana W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio W Ternana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Lazio W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lazio W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lazio W VS Ternana W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
Page 1 of 6

Ternana W

(Away)
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)