Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Portoviejo vs Nueve de Octubre

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Mejia F.
82'
Chichande E.
84' Event
Espinola C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
LDU Portoviejo
30%
Draws
34%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueve de Octubre lately — more wins on the board than LDU Portoviejo.
  • Model gives LDU Portoviejo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs LDU Portoviejo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 46 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Nueve de Octubre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

LDU Portoviejo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Nueve de Octubre let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

LDU Portoviejo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Nueve de Octubre
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1686219:1130
2Atletico FC1669117:1227
3Vinotinto1775523:1426
4CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
5Independiente Juniors1667317:1125
6Cumbaya1656519:1621
7San Antonio1648419:1620
8Dep. Santo Domingo1657413:1119
9LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional17041310:291