Sport Picks
LDU Portoviejo vs Nueve de Octubre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo 
Match Events
71'
71'
Mejia F.
82'
82'
Chichande E.
84'
84'
Espinola C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to LDU Portoviejo lately — more wins on the board than Nueve de Octubre.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | LDU Portoviejo | Nueve de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs LDU Portoviejo
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
LDU Portoviejo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Nueve de Octubre Compare
Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
LDU Portoviejo 42 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
LDU Portoviejo Nueve de Octubre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
LDU Portoviejo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
LDU Portoviejo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Nueve de Octubre lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
LDU Portoviejo VS Nueve de Octubre
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
LDU Portoviejo
(Home) 08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2 LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2 EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2 22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0 LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2 Delfin
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2 EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2 22 de Julio
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2 Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0 Dep. Santo Domingo
21 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 0 22 de Julio
Page 1 of 4
Nueve de Octubre
(Away) 08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1 Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0 San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1 Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2 Nueve de Octubre
28 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 1 Nueve de Octubre
20 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0 Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 31 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Gualaceo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | 9 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)
