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LDU Portoviejo vs Vinotinto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
90' Event
Gracia A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between LDU Portoviejo and Vinotinto finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
LDU Portoviejo
35%
Draws
42%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vinotinto come out ahead of LDU Portoviejo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vinotinto a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 24%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Vinotinto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs LDU Portoviejo
0:0
May 23, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Vinotinto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Vinotinto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 25 / 100
Vinotinto 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Vinotinto let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: LDU Portoviejo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Vinotinto
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
07 Oct
Vinotinto
1 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
02 Oct
San Antonio
0 : 0
Vinotinto
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)