Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito U20 vs Penarol U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2022 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Diaz S.
66'
Cordova L.
66'
Cordova L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Penarol U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
LDU Quito U20
17%
Draws
70%
Penarol U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Penarol U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penarol U20 come out ahead of LDU Quito U20 on wins alone.
  • Penarol U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Penarol U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penarol U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
LDU Quito U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Penarol U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito U20 Penarol U20
Matches Played 6 11
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 Copa Libertadores U20
LDU Quito U20 vs Penarol U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Penarol U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oscar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito U20 14 / 100
Penarol U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito U20 Penarol U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito U20 scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Penarol U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

LDU Quito U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito U20 VS Penarol U20
1.17 Goals Scored 2.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito U20

(Home)
15 Mar
LDU Quito U20
3 : 3
S. Wanderers U20
12 Mar
Club Nacional U20
2 : 1
LDU Quito U20
09 Mar
CA Belgrano de Cordoba U20
1 : 1
LDU Quito U20
12 Feb
Millonarios U20
2 : 1
LDU Quito U20
09 Feb
LDU Quito U20
0 : 2
Penarol U20
Page 1 of 2

Penarol U20

(Away)
16 Jul
Penarol U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
13 Jul
Penarol U20
0 : 1
Boca Juniors U20
07 Jul
O'Higgins U20
1 : 2
Penarol U20
04 Jul
Penarol U20
4 : 1
Alianza Lima U20
01 Jul
Penarol U20
5 : 1
Caracas U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle U20330013:19
2Caracas U2032016:46
3Sporting Cristal U2031026:123
4Blooming U2030030:80
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol U2032105:17
2Millonarios U2032013:36
3LDU Quito U2031022:43
4Internacional U2030121:31
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani U2032015:26
2Newells Old Boys U2032014:26
3Orense U2032015:56
4U. De Concepcion U2030033:80
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams