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LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. LDU Quito have averaged 1.31 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Barcelona SC's 1.03 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, LDU Quito have won 3 to Barcelona SC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.69, favoring LDU Quito. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LDU Quito
35%
Draws
32%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Barcelona SC haven't matched LDU Quito's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Barcelona SC
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC
3:0
Jul 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 41 / 100
Barcelona SC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Barcelona SC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: LDU Quito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Barcelona SC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 31 14 8 9 34:30 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)