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LDU Quito vs FBC Melgar

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between LDU Quito and FBC Melgar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
LDU Quito
40%
Draws
29%
FBC Melgar
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FBC Melgar's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what LDU Quito have produced (1.5).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 19%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito FBC Melgar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Club Friendly
LDU Quito vs FBC Melgar
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 Club Friendly
LDU Quito vs FBC Melgar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 32 / 100
FBC Melgar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito FBC Melgar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBC Melgar has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

LDU Quito's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: LDU Quito stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS FBC Melgar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
18 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
15 Jul
U. Catolica
1 : 0
LDU Quito
12 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Libertad
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
05 Jul
Macara
1 : 0
LDU Quito
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FBC Melgar

(Away)
18 Jul
Cienciano
1 : 3
FBC Melgar
29 Jun
FBC Melgar
0 : 0
Moquegua
18 Jun
LDU Quito
0 : 0
FBC Melgar
17 Jun
LDU Quito
1 : 1
FBC Melgar
12 Jun
Tacna Heroica
3 : 2
FBC Melgar
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