Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Medina J.
Penalty Missed
34'
Mancilla P.
35' Event
Deyverson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between LDU Quito and Guayaquil City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
LDU Quito
20%
Draws
38%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • LDU Quito have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Guayaquil City
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
1:0
Sep 5, 2023 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
2:0
Apr 9, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
2:0
May 22, 2022 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 42 / 100
Guayaquil City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Guayaquil City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Guayaquil City
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
18 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
15 Jul
U. Catolica
1 : 0
LDU Quito
12 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Libertad
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
05 Jul
Macara
1 : 0
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 7

Guayaquil City

(Away)
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
11 Jul
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
Delfin
08 Jul
Aucas
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
31 May
Guayaquil City
2 : 4
Independiente del Valle
23 May
Mushuc Runa
2 : 2
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2Barcelona SC2097422:1434
3U. Catolica2095631:1832
4Aucas1995521:1932
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito2084819:1628
7Dep. Cuenca2084819:2328
8Leones del Norte2076721:2027
9Emelec1976616:1727
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Delfin2065913:1923
14Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
15Libertad2056918:2621
16Manta1934127:2413
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)