Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

2 - 1
FT
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fajardo J.
Assist: Alonso M.
13'
Segovia L.
46'
Sub
Segovia L. In: Quinonez L.
Out: Segovia L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
LDU Quito
30%
Draws
39%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito have won more games recently than U. Catolica.
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito U. Catolica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:1
Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs LDU Quito
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:0
Dec 19, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyverson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinonez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 42 / 100
U. Catolica 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

U. Catolica has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: LDU Quito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS U. Catolica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 31 14 8 9 34:30 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)