Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Samatta A.
9'
9'
Kvilitaia G.
Assist: Hein G.
13'
13'
Kechta Y.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Le Havre and Metz finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Metz come out ahead of Le Havre on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 20%
Metz Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Le Havre | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Metz
4:4
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Metz vs Le Havre
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Metz
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Ligue 1
Metz vs Le Havre
0:0
Mar 13, 2023 Ligue 2
Metz vs Le Havre
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Le Havre Compare
Top Goalscorer Samatta A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kechta Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Metz Compare
Top Goalscorer Kvilitaia G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pandore J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Le Havre 31 / 100
Metz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Le Havre Metz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Le Havre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Le Havre found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Le Havre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Le Havre VS Metz
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Le Havre
(Home) 02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0 Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1 Le Havre
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0 Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1 Monaco
31 Jul
Le Havre
1 : 1 Laval
Page 1 of 3
Metz
(Away) 19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2 St Etienne
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0 Metz
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1 Rodez
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1 Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1 Laval
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0 Metz
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1 Metz
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0 Metz
17 May
Nice
0 : 0 Metz
29 Apr
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Metz
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
