Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Havre vs Auxerre

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sinayoko L.
Assist: Namaso D.
17'
Sangante A.
23' Event
Ebonog S.
Assist: Soumare I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Le Havre
20%
Draws
60%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auxerre lately — more wins on the board than Le Havre.
  • Model gives Le Havre a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 68%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Auxerre
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Le Havre
0:1
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Le Havre
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Auxerre
3:1
May 7, 2022 Ligue 2
Le Havre vs Auxerre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebonog S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinayoko L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 50 / 100
Auxerre 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Havre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Auxerre has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Auxerre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Auxerre
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre

(Away)
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)