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Le Havre vs Lorient - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre host Lorient in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Le Havre at 1.21 goals for, 1.64 against; Lorient at 1.43 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Le Havre have won 2 to Lorient's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Lorient. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Le Havre
20%
Draws
58%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 20%
Lorient Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Lorient
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Le Havre
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lorient
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Le Havre vs Lorient
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Le Havre
3:3
Sep 3, 2023 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lorient
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 32 / 100
Lorient 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lorient let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Le Havre has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Lorient
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3
Le Havre
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Lorient

(Away)
25 Oct
Angers
0 : 0
Lorient
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
9 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
10 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)