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Le Havre vs Lyon

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre Logo

Le Havre

0 - 0
FT
Lyon Logo

Lyon

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Karabec A.
42'
Tagliafico N.
55'
Zagadou S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Le Havre
20%
Draws
40%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 13%
Lyon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Lyon
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
4:2
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:4
Jan 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 35 / 100
Lyon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Le Havre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Le Havre scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Lyon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
08 Aug
Real Oviedo
3 : 2
Le Havre
04 Aug
Ipswich
1 : 0
Le Havre
31 Jul
Le Havre
1 : 1
Laval
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
Lyon
11 Aug
Lyon
3 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0
Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)