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Le Havre vs Monaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dier E.
Assist: Nazinho F.
20'
Richardson A.
26'
Richardson A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Le Havre and Monaco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Le Havre
15%
Draws
59%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monaco are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%
Monaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Monaco
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Dier E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 26 / 100
Monaco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Monaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Monaco has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Le Havre went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Monaco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3
Le Havre
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Monaco

(Away)
05 Nov
Monaco
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
01 Nov
Paris FC
3 : 1
Monaco
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)