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Le Havre vs Monaco

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dier E.
Assist: Nazinho F.
20'
Richardson A.
26'
Richardson A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Le Havre and Monaco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Le Havre
30%
Draws
51%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 15%
Monaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Monaco
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Dier E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 35 / 100
Monaco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Monaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Monaco has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Le Havre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Monaco
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
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Monaco

(Away)
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2
Monaco
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
27 Aug
Monaco
4 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lille 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Rennes 4 3 1 0 8:5 10
4 Paris FC 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Lyon 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
6 Strasbourg 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
7 PSG 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
8 Lorient 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Brest 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
11 Angers 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
12 Troyes 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
14 Le Mans 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
16 Le Havre 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)