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Le Havre vs Strasbourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Le Havre at 1.21 goals for, 1.64 against; Strasbourg at 1.52 for, 2.24 against. Head-to-head, Le Havre have won 3 to Strasbourg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.81) back Strasbourg to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Le Havre
15%
Draws
42%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Havre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Strasbourg have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • Le Havre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 11%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Strasbourg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Strasbourg
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Le Havre
1:0
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Le Havre
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Strasbourg
0:3
May 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Strasbourg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 38 / 100
Strasbourg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Havre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Le Havre scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Difficult form: Strasbourg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Strasbourg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre

(Home)
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3
Le Havre
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Strasbourg

(Away)
06 Nov
Toulouse
3 : 1
Strasbourg
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 15:14 13
11 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
12 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
13 Strasbourg 10 3 1 6 18:22 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)