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Stadium Background

Le Havre W vs Nantes W

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre W Logo

Le Havre W

3 - 3
FT
Nantes W Logo

Nantes W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Calba L.
Assist: van de Ven Z.
43' Event
Calba L.
Assist: Fleury L.
44' Event
Effa Effa C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Le Havre W and Nantes W finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Le Havre W
15%
Draws
49%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nantes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nantes W come out ahead of Le Havre W on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Nantes W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nantes W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 18%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre W Nantes W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Nantes W
0:2
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Nantes W vs Le Havre W
2:0
May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Nantes W
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Le Havre W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Nantes W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Havre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Effa Effa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boucly M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Calba L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquereau J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre W 15 / 100
Nantes W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Le Havre W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Nantes W let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nantes W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre W VS Nantes W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre W

(Home)
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Le Havre W
0 : 2
Nantes W
21 Aug
RSC Anderlecht W
4 : 1
Le Havre W
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Nantes W

(Away)
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
29 Aug
Le Havre W
0 : 2
Nantes W
22 Aug
Nantes W
1 : 2
Saint-Malo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)