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Le Mans II vs Concarneau

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CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Le Mans II Logo

Le Mans II

0 - 2
FT
Concarneau Logo

Concarneau

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Concarneau in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Le Mans II
35%
Draws
45%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans II average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Concarneau's 1.15.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Concarneau taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans II Concarneau
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Concarneau
0:2
Feb 27, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Le Mans II
1:0
May 19, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Le Mans II
1:4
Jan 29, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Concarneau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans II 10 / 100
Concarneau 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans II Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Le Mans II scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Concarneau conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Le Mans II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Concarneau
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans II

(Home)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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Concarneau

(Away)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)