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Le Mans vs La Roche Vendee

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gueye D.
18' Event
Ndiaye M.
19' Event
Samb M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Le Mans and La Roche Vendee finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Le Mans
35%
Draws
42%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Roche Vendee come out ahead of Le Mans on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 17%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1.54 1.96
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Le Mans vs La Roche Vendee
2:3
Feb 9, 2001 Coupe de France
La Roche Vendee vs Le Mans
1:3
Apr 10, 1993 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs La Roche Vendee
0:0
Oct 31, 1992 Ligue 2
La Roche Vendee vs Le Mans
0:0
Feb 1, 1992 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs La Roche Vendee
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mafouta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans 36 / 100
La Roche Vendee 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Le Mans scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: La Roche Vendee conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Le Mans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans VS La Roche Vendee
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans

(Home)
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
08 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Le Mans
08 Aug
Le Mans
1 : 1
UNFP
01 Aug
Angers
2 : 3
Le Mans
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La Roche Vendee

(Away)
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
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