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Le Mans W vs Bordeaux W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025
Sun, Mar 23, 2025
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W host Bordeaux W in the Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025. Le Mans W are expected to control this from the start. Le Mans W have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Bordeaux W's 0.63 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Le Mans W have won 2 to Bordeaux W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.06) point toward Le Mans W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Le Mans W
15%
Draws
32%
Bordeaux W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Le Mans W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 20%
Bordeaux W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Bordeaux W
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 16 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.43 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Bordeaux W
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Le Mans W
0:0
Jan 17, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Le Mans W
2:0
Sep 13, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Bordeaux W
2:0
May 24, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Bordeaux W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 67 / 100
Bordeaux W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Bordeaux W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bordeaux W let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 6

Bordeaux W

(Away)
31 Aug
Nantes W
1 : 0
Bordeaux W
08 May
Bordeaux W
2 : 1
OL Lyonnes W
24 Apr
Lille W
1 : 2
Bordeaux W
14 Apr
Bordeaux W
0 : 3
Fleury 91 W
30 Mar
Reims W
3 : 0
Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 20 14 3 3 46:22 45
2 Lens W 20 14 3 3 54:23 45
3 Toulouse W 20 11 4 5 36:24 37
4 Le Mans W 20 9 4 7 29:24 31
5 Saint-Malo W 20 7 6 7 30:33 27
6 Metz W 20 6 7 7 26:25 25
7 Lille W 20 7 3 10 38:35 24
8 Thonon Evian W 20 5 7 8 20:34 22
9 Nice W 20 5 3 12 21:51 18
10 Rodez AF W 20 4 5 11 26:43 17
11 Orleans W 20 5 1 14 25:37 16
12 Bordeaux W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Main)