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Le Mans W vs Conde-sur-Noireau W

France France

Division 2 Women 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W play Conde-sur-Noireau W in the Division 2 Women 2013/2014. Le Mans W are favorites here. Recently, Le Mans W averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. Conde-sur-Noireau W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, Le Mans W won 3, Conde-sur-Noireau W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2016 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Le Mans W and 1.00 for Conde-sur-Noireau W. This points to a Le Mans W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Le Mans W
25%
Draws
15%
Conde-sur-Noireau W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Mans W picked up more points recently compared to Conde-sur-Noireau W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 23%
Conde-sur-Noireau W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Conde-sur-Noireau W
Matches Played 55 38
Wins 35 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 2.15 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.05 2.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Conde-sur-Noireau W
4:0
Nov 8, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Conde-sur-Noireau W vs Le Mans W
1:5
Mar 8, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Conde-sur-Noireau W
4:2
Oct 12, 2014 Seconde Ligue Women
Conde-sur-Noireau W vs Le Mans W
2:0
May 25, 2014 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Conde-sur-Noireau W
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 59 / 100
Conde-sur-Noireau W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Conde-sur-Noireau W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Le Mans W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Mans W attacking → ← attacking Conde-sur-Noireau W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W scored in 84% of their last 55 games.

Conde-sur-Noireau W let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Conde-sur-Noireau W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

110 Points in last 5 31
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metz W22191271:1580
2Vendenheim W22156157:1173
3Rouvroy W22123731:2361
4Compiegne Club Oise W22114734:2059
5Amiens W22105746:4057
6Nancy W22104837:2656
7Lille W22921153:5151
8Dijon W22751033:4648
9Mars Bischheim W22741135:3547
10Val d'Orge W22641232:4444
11Gravelines W22321719:7733
12Montigny-le-Bretonneux W22301923:8331
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Issy W22156147:1773
2Saint-Maur W22144473:2668
3La Roche W22144452:2268
4Le Mans W22119248:1564
5Bordeaux W22117441:2662
6Conde-sur-Noireau W22112955:3757
7Orvault W22841030:4850
8Angers W2276929:3149
9Rouen W22561127:5143
10Quimper W22541327:5741
11AS Verchers Foot W22131816:7428
12Cormelles W22131817:5828
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albi-Marssac W22201158:1383
2Nimes W22144440:1668
3Grenoble W22125559:3363
4Monteux W22124645:3962
5Toulouse W22114763:4459
6Aurillac W22103937:3155
7Le Puy W2295831:2754
8FAMF Marseille W2294936:4053
9Veore Montoison W22911238:4050
10Nivolas W22421629:5736
11Saint Romain Sanne W22331620:6834
12Sainte Christie Preignan AS W22022023:7124