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Le Mans W vs Fleury 91 W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Fleury 91 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Le Mans W
30%
Draws
31%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Mans W come out ahead of Fleury 91 W on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans W taking it.
  • Le Mans W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fleury 91 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Fleury 91 W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Fleury 91 W
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 85 / 100
Fleury 91 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Le Mans W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Fleury 91 W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Le Mans W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Fleury 91 W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 7

Fleury 91 W

(Away)
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
15 Aug
Fleury 91 W
0 : 0
Nantes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)