Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Portel vs Dunkerque

France France

Coupe de France 2012/2013
Sun, Dec 9, 2012
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Senneville C.
44'
Belet J.
84' Event
Chauvin J.

AI Match Summary

Le Portel in this Coupe de France 2012/2013 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Le Portel
15%
Draws
26%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Portel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunkerque lately — more wins on the board than Le Portel.
  • Le Portel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Dunkerque arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Portel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Le Portel Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Portel Dunkerque
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2012 Coupe de France
Le Portel vs Dunkerque
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Portel Compare

Top Goalscorer Chauvin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Senneville C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Portel 58 / 100
Dunkerque 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Portel Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Portel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dunkerque conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Le Portel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Dunkerque registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunkerque
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Portel

(Home)
04 Jan
Le Portel
1 : 4
Strasbourg
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1
Le Portel
17 Nov
Verton
0 : 3
Le Portel
03 Dec
Le Portel
0 : 1
AC Ajaccio
13 Nov
Le Portel
3 : 0
Avion
Page 1 of 3

Dunkerque

(Away)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 2
Raismes 1
Camon 1
Amiens AC 2
Saint-Malo 2
Herouville 0
Tefana 1
Pontivy 5
St. Saturnin 3
Montagnarde 2
Club Colonial 0
Vertou 1
Avenir Lozere 1
Pont Du Gard 0
UES Montmorillon 0
Limoges 1
Limonest 4
Thiers 3
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 7
Quetigny 0
Belfort Sud 1
Sainte Marguerite 2
Saint-Amand 3
Beauvais 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Le Havre 2
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laval 1
AC Plouzane 0
Courseulles RSG 3
Guingamp 4
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 3
Perigny 0
Aire 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Vitry 2
Marly 1
JA Drancy 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 3
Saint-Omer 2
Val Dize 0
Angers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
Chantilly 0
Breteuil 1
Caen 3
Le Portel 6
Enquin Les Mines 0
Saint-Pauloise FC 2
Dunkerque 3
Chambly 1
Marck 0
Avion 1
Meaux 2
Plabennec 2
Avranches 0
St. Colomban Locmine 3
Sable 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 2
Luzenac 1
Stade Montois 0
Tarbes 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 2
Change 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Lucon 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 2
Millery Vourles 1
Neuville 1
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Dijon 1
Wittemheim 0
Strasbourg 6
Colmar 5
L'Etoile 0
Feyzin 1
Pontarlier 2
Chauray 5
La Roche Vendee 0
Limagnole 2
Agde 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
Lossi 0
Entente Roche Novillars 0
Montceau 3
AS Muret 3
Narbonne 2
Football Club Marmande 47 1
La Brede 2
Vitre 2
La Vieille Lyre 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Fontenay 1
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco 3
Toulon 1
Auxerre 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 2
Dijon Parc 1
ES Metz 0
Haguenau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 2
Grenoble 1
USC Corte 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Villefranche 2
Dommartin Tour 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 3
Aubervilliers 0
Cesson 2
Evreux 3
Ytrac 1
Balma 0
RC Ancenis 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 2
Lesquin 0
Biesheim 2
Metz 6
Drouais 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Orleans 1
Evry 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 3
Les Lilas 0
Cambrai 0
Armentieres 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 2
Le Rheu 0
Monce En Belin 1
St. Leonard Kreisker 2
Niort 1
Gueret 0
Pau 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
Romorantin 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
St. Renan 2
Compiegne 2
Mtsapere 1
Le Geldar 1
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Illzach Modenheim 2
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 2
Dizier 1
Schirrhein 1
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury 91 2
Tours 1
Epernay 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aurillac 2
Colomiers 0
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Istres 2
Moulins 2
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Clermont 1
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Martigues 2
Berre SP 0
Salinieres 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Chateauroux 3
Rodeo 0
Aulnay 0
Mondeville 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/64-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 0
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
St. Saturnin 0
Vertou 3
Avenir Lozere 4
Limoges 2
Limonest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 1
Sainte Marguerite 0
Saint-Amand 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
CA Vitry 0
Boulogne 3
Arras 1
Angers 0
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Caen 5
Le Portel 2
Dunkerque 1
Chambly 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 3
Sable 2
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 5
Tarbes 0
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lucon 4
Bastia -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 1
Strasbourg 0
Colmar 2
Pontarlier 3
Chauray 1
Agde 0
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
Mulhouse 0
Montceau 2
AS Muret 1
La Brede 0
Vitre 1
Fontenay 2
Montpellier -
TBD -
Monaco 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 3
Haguenau 2
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 0
Villefranche 1
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 1
Evreux 0
Ytrac 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 6
Nice -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 0
Metz 1
Drouais 3
Evry 2
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 6
Armentieres 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 5
St. Leonard Kreisker 0
Niort 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
St. Renan 0
Compiegne 0
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 1
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 3
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury 91 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
Aurillac 0
Istres 1
Moulins 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 4
Chateauroux 1
Mondeville 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/32-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 1
Vertou 2
Avenir Lozere 2
Arles-Avignon 0
Belfort 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Guingamp 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Rouen 2
Toulouse 1
Boulogne 0
Arras 3
PSG 4
St Etienne 3
Caen 2
Le Portel 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 1
Reims 0
Nimes 2
Lille 3
Brest 2
Lucon 1
Bastia 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Pontarlier 1
Chauray 1
Lorient 5
Troyes 1
Montceau 0
AS Muret 0
Fontenay 2
Montpellier 2
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 0
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Le Mans 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Nice 3
Metz 2
Drouais 1
Nancy 5
Lens 2
Rennes 1
Carquefou 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 3
Dieppe 2
Lyon 3
Epinal 4
Raon L Etape 2
Amneville 1
Valenciennes 3
Istres 4
Moulins 2
Athletico Marseille 1
Chateauroux 2
Bordeaux 3
1/16-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Vertou 0
Avenir Lozere 0
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Rouen 1
Toulouse 1
PSG 3
St Etienne 1
Meaux 0
Plabennec 1
Lille 3
Brest 3
Borgo 1
Sedan 0
Lorient 1
Troyes 5
Fontenay 0
Montpellier 2
Sochaux 3
Venissieux FC 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Nice 2
Nancy 3
Lens 3
Stade Bordelais 0
Nantes 1
Epinal 2
Raon L Etape 1
Istres 0
Moulins 1
Bordeaux 2
1/8-finals
Thonon-Evian 3
Le Havre 1
Marseille 0
PSG 2
St Etienne 3
Lille 2
Brest 0
Lorient 3
Troyes 2
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 0
Nancy 2
Lens 2
Epinal 0
Raon L Etape 2
Bordeaux 3
Quarter-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
PSG 1
St Etienne 1
Lorient 2
Troyes 3
Nancy 0
Lens 2
Bordeaux 3
Semi-finals
Thonon-Evian 4
Lorient 0
Troyes 1
Bordeaux 2
Final
Thonon-Evian 2
Bordeaux 3