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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Sedan

France France

National 2022/2023 Stade Charles Massot
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Puy-en-Velay play Sedan in the National 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Sedan averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Le Puy-en-Velay won 1, Sedan won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2023 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Le Puy-en-Velay and 1.00 for Sedan. This points to a Sedan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Le Puy-en-Velay
40%
Draws
30%
Sedan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Sedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay picked up more points recently compared to Sedan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 23%
Sedan Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Sedan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Sedan
3:2
Sep 23, 2022 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Seba D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sangare I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Seance S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 32 / 100
Sedan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Sedan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sedan or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Puy-en-Velay attacking → ← attacking Sedan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sedan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Le Puy-en-Velay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sedan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Concarneau34196960:3762
2Dunkerque341951050:3262
3Red Star34179851:3060
4Martigues341515454:4060
5Versailles341491141:4151
6Villefranche3411131049:4046
7Sedan3412101241:4746
8Cholet3411121138:4145
9Avranches341441644:4645
10Orleans3410141038:3744
11Chateauroux341281441:4644
12Le Mans3410131150:4243
13Nancy3410121237:4241
14Bourg Peronnas349131242:4640
15Stade Briochin348141236:4638
16Le Puy-en-Velay347141334:5035
17Paris 13 Atletico346131528:4231
18Borgo34682032:6126