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Lealtad vs Aviles Stadium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Blanco Suarez M.
86' Event
Fofana B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Lealtad and Aviles Stadium finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
26%
Aviles Stadium
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lealtad come out ahead of Aviles Stadium on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Lealtad taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Aviles Stadium
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 12
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Aviles Stadium
2:0
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Aviles Stadium vs Lealtad
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Aviles Stadium
6:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Lealtad
1:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Lealtad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco Suarez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aviles Stadium Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 85 / 100
Aviles Stadium 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Aviles Stadium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aviles Stadium let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Lealtad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Aviles Stadium
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
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Aviles Stadium

(Away)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Gijon B
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)