Sport Picks
Lealtad vs Basico Urraca Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Menendez R.
14'
14'
Blanco Suarez M.
44'
44'
Molina O.
AI Match Summary
Lealtad in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lealtad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lealtad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Lealtad have won more games recently than Basico Urraca.
- Lealtad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lealtad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 19%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lealtad | Basico Urraca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Basico Urraca
5:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Lealtad
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Basico Urraca
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Lealtad
1:2
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Lealtad
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lealtad Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouroui M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Menendez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Basico Urraca Compare
Top Goalscorer Batalla A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lealtad 76 / 100
Basico Urraca 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lealtad Basico Urraca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basico Urraca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Lealtad found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Lealtad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lealtad VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lealtad
(Home) 04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0 Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1 Lealtad
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2 Coruxo FC
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Basico Urraca
(Away) 11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4 Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1 Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2 Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1 Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1 Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2 Basico Urraca
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1 Basico Urraca
29 Mar
Real Oviedo B
2 : 0 Basico Urraca
16 Mar
Real Titanico
2 : 0 Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 82:14 | 89 |
| 2 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 67:15 | 76 |
| 3 | Covadonga | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 59:17 | 73 |
| 4 | Gijon B | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 60:23 | 67 |
| 5 | Lealtad | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:31 | 58 |
| 6 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:31 | 58 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Praviano | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 32:36 | 44 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Tuilla | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 28:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:44 | 38 |
| 13 | Real Titanico | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:56 | 36 |
| 14 | EI San Martin | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 23:36 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30:63 | 32 |
| 16 | Basico Urraca | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 35:56 | 27 |
| 17 | Condal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:59 | 26 |
| 18 | CD Roces | 34 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 16:75 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
