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Lealtad vs Real Tapia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Lealtad and Real Tapia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Tapia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
26%
Real Tapia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lealtad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Lealtad taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 19%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Real Tapia
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.27 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Lealtad
2:0
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Real Tapia
3:0
Mar 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Real Tapia
0:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Lealtad
0:0
Feb 10, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Lealtad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 76 / 100
Real Tapia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Real Tapia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Tapia has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Lealtad's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Lealtad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Tapia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
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Real Tapia

(Away)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)