Sport Picks
Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera C 
Match Events
63'
63'
Amado L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between Leandro N. Alem and Mercedes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercedes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mercedes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mercedes a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 17%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leandro N. Alem | Mercedes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes
0:1
May 23, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Leandro N. Alem
2:0
Sep 16, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Leandro N. Alem
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes
1:2
Nov 20, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Leandro N. Alem
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leandro N. Alem 23 / 100
Mercedes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leandro N. Alem Mercedes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mercedes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Leandro N. Alem's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Mercedes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Leandro N. Alem stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leandro N. Alem VS Mercedes
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leandro N. Alem
(Home) 06 Oct
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 5 CSR Espanol
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2 Leandro N. Alem
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1 Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 5 CSR Espanol
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
30 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 3 Puerto Nuevo
25 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 2 Juventud Unida San Miguel
22 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 CA Lugano
Page 1 of 3
Mercedes
(Away) 05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 Mercedes
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
30 Aug
Juventud Unida San Miguel
4 : 1 Mercedes
18 Aug
Claypole
1 : 0 Mercedes
08 Aug
Argentino de Rosario
2 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37:24 | 48 |
| 2 | CSR Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31:29 | 45 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24:19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30:41 | 27 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:22 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 25:16 | 49 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29:24 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 23:27 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Fenix | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 23:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Claypole | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 25:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
