Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leatherhead vs Horsham FC

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leatherhead play Horsham FC in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leatherhead averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Horsham FC averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Leatherhead won 1, Horsham FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Leatherhead and 0.93 for Horsham FC. This points to a Leatherhead double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Leatherhead
18%
Draws
38%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Leatherhead picked up more points recently compared to Horsham FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 24%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leatherhead Horsham FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 FA Trophy
Leatherhead vs Horsham FC
2:3
Sep 5, 2023 FA Cup
Horsham FC vs Leatherhead
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup
Leatherhead vs Horsham FC
0:0
Mar 26, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Leatherhead
0:1
Nov 20, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Horsham FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallagher J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogunwamide O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leatherhead 44 / 100
Horsham FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leatherhead Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leatherhead or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leatherhead attacking → ← attacking Horsham FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leatherhead scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Horsham FC let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Leatherhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Horsham FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38