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Lebanon U16 vs United Arab Emirates U16

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16
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AI Match Summary

Lebanon U16 play United Arab Emirates U16 in the AFC Championship U16. United Arab Emirates U16 are favorites here. Recently, Lebanon U16 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. United Arab Emirates U16 averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Lebanon U16 won 0, United Arab Emirates U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2019 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Lebanon U16 and 1.69 for United Arab Emirates U16. This points to a United Arab Emirates U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lebanon U16
15%
Draws
64%
United Arab Emirates U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United Arab Emirates U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Lebanon U16 picked up more points recently compared to United Arab Emirates U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Lebanon U16 Clean Sheet 13%
United Arab Emirates U16 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U16 United Arab Emirates U16
Matches Played 16 23
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 AFC Championship U16
Lebanon U16 vs United Arab Emirates U16
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U16 22 / 100
United Arab Emirates U16 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U16 United Arab Emirates U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick United Arab Emirates U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lebanon U16 attacking → ← attacking United Arab Emirates U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U16 scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

United Arab Emirates U16 let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lebanon U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

United Arab Emirates U16 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 32
1.33 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tajikistan U16440029:212
2Jordan U16421117:67
3Kuwait U1641214:115
4Nepal U1641124:154
5Sri Lanka U1640040:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1India U16321011:17
2Uzbekistan U1632107:47
3Turkmenistan U1631024:93
4Bahrain U1630032:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iran U16330019:19
2Palestine U1631117:54
3Afghanistan U1631115:64
4Maldives U1630031:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U1632108:37
2Oman U1632103:07
3Pakistan U1630123:71
4Syria U1630122:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Qatar U16321014:17
2Yemen U16321014:27
3Bangladesh U1631023:53
4Bhutan U1630031:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1United Arab Emirates U1633007:29
2Iraq U1632015:26
3Kyrgyzstan U1631024:73
4Lebanon U1630034:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1China U16431028:010
2Indonesia U16431027:110
3Philippines U16420210:126
4Brunei U1641037:193
5Northern Mariana Islands U1640042:420
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U1644008:212
2Vietnam U16430116:29
3Timor-Leste U16420211:46
4Mongolia U1641032:143
5Macau U1640041:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U16330026:19
2Hong Kong U1632016:66
3Singapore U16310212:93
4Guam U1630032:300
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U16321014:27
2Laos U1632012:46
3Malaysia U1631119:34
4Cambodia U1630030:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Korea U16330013:09
2Thailand U16320110:26
3Chinese Taipei U1631022:163
4Myanmar U1630030:70